50 years after the BBC and ITN competed to predict election night first, the team at May2015 launch a new election-foreasting model, named Florence. In this post, they introduce their model, and explain that its nickname pays homage to a pioneer of data journalism.A hung parliament appears to be an inevitability
In this post, the team at May2015.com compare five general election forecasts, and find that they are in broad agreement: Labour & Tories are likely to fall at least 40 seats short of a majority, and a hung parliament seems inevitable.
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