Picture of Thomas Monk

Thomas Monk

PhD Candidate in Economics, London School of Economics

Public Engagement

Working with the New Statesman in association with LSE's Politics and Policy unit
Presenting May2015’s model for forecasting the 2015 General Election

50 years after the BBC and ITN competed to predict election night first, the team at May2015 launch a new election-foreasting model, named Florence. In this post, they introduce their model, and explain that its nickname pays homage to a pioneer of data journalism.

A hung parliament appears to be an inevitability

In this post, the team at May2015.com compare five general election forecasts, and find that they are in broad agreement: Labour & Tories are likely to fall at least 40 seats short of a majority, and a hung parliament seems inevitable.


Email: t.d.antispmonk@lse.ac.uk
Office hours: Wednesday 16:10-18:00 term time, within the Centre for Economic Performance. Please book on Student Hub.

2.01 H, Centre for Economic Performance
London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)
Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE